Notts County vs Barnsley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.1%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.8%
27%
Draw
0-0
8.3%
1-1
12.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
27%
38.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.3%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+12%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
YEO
1 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
35%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 0
COV
44%
26%
30%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
WAL
0 - 0
NOT
52%
25%
23%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 2
SCU
37%
26%
37%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
MKD
4 - 1
NOT
68%
20%
13%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Barnsley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
CHE
41%
27%
32%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2015 |
COL
3 - 1
BAR
36%
27%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | -2 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
BAR
0 - 2
SHE
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 65 | 4 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
BRI
2 - 2
BAR
63%
22%
15%
|
61 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
BAR
1 - 1
PNE
34%
28%
38%
|
60 | 71 | 11 | +1 |