Notts County vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.5%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.8%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.8%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
19.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.8%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 1
ALT
56%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 3
YOR
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 3
NOT
16%
19%
65%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 2
NOT
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ILK
0 - 2
NOT
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
DAG
1 - 2
BAR
31%
26%
43%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 5
EAS
64%
20%
16%
|
51 | 43 | 8 | -2 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
DAR
1 - 0
BAR
40%
25%
35%
|
52 | 49 | 3 | -1 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
HIT
2 - 0
BAR
14%
22%
64%
|
53 | 34 | 19 | -1 |
| 25 Jul. 2020 |
NOT
2 - 0
BAR
49%
24%
27%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |