Notts County vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.8%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.1%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
26.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.2%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
NOT
4 - 0
EAS
64%
21%
16%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
NOT
3 - 1
ALD
66%
20%
14%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
0 - 2
NOT
44%
25%
30%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | +1 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
NOT
5 - 0
AVE
66%
20%
15%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2020 |
HAR
2 - 0
NOT
34%
26%
40%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jul. 2020 |
YEO
0 - 2
BAR
41%
25%
34%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2020 |
WOK
1 - 3
BAR
35%
28%
38%
|
52 | 46 | 6 | +1 |
| 07 Mar. 2020 |
STO
1 - 1
BAR
39%
27%
34%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
2 - 2
BOR
46%
26%
29%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
BAR
1 - 2
HAL
69%
19%
12%
|
53 | 42 | 11 | -1 |