Notts County vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.3%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.2%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.3%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.5%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
33.2%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.8%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
3 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
3 - 1
SHE
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
EVE
4 - 0
NOT
71%
18%
12%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 1915 |
NOT
0 - 0
BOL
44%
24%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
WBA
51%
26%
23%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
6 - 2
LIV
72%
16%
12%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
ASV
2 - 1
BBU
52%
22%
26%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 1915 |
SHE
3 - 0
ASV
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 1915 |
ASV
5 - 0
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | +1 |
| 27 Feb. 1915 |
ASV
3 - 1
TOT
72%
15%
12%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |