Notts County vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.9%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
33.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
2 - 0
BBU
49%
25%
27%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
SHE
0 - 2
NOT
64%
21%
15%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
BCF
58%
20%
22%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 1911 |
LIV
2 - 1
NOT
75%
15%
10%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
NOT
1 - 0
MUD
38%
26%
37%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 1911 |
ASV
3 - 0
SHE
76%
15%
9%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 1911 |
ASV
0 - 2
PNE
82%
12%
6%
|
86 | 79 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1911 |
MID
0 - 1
ASV
40%
26%
35%
|
86 | 78 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
EVE
75%
15%
10%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 1911 |
NEW
1 - 0
ASV
57%
22%
21%
|
86 | 86 | 0 | 0 |