Notts County vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
29.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
5%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.2%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
ARS
3 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 0
NOT
58%
24%
18%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
NOT
2 - 0
SUN
37%
25%
38%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
CAR
2 - 1
NOT
58%
23%
19%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 2
TOT
43%
28%
29%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1925 |
ARS
3 - 0
NOT
60%
22%
18%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1925 |
BIR
1 - 0
ARS
47%
26%
28%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 0
WBA
57%
23%
20%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1925 |
HUR
2 - 2
ARS
54%
24%
22%
|
80 | 87 | 7 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 1925 |
ARS
2 - 0
SUN
45%
24%
32%
|
79 | 85 | 6 | +1 |