Notts County vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
8.5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.6%
1-0
12%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
27.9%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
MAC
2 - 1
NOT
65%
20%
15%
|
77 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
NOT
1 - 1
BCF
48%
27%
26%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
CAR
1 - 1
NOT
63%
22%
16%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
NOT
4 - 1
SUN
33%
26%
40%
|
76 | 84 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
NTT
0 - 0
NOT
39%
28%
33%
|
77 | 69 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Mar. 1925 |
ARS
1 - 0
BOL
42%
27%
31%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 1925 |
TOT
2 - 0
ARS
55%
23%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 1925 |
ARS
0 - 5
HUR
39%
28%
34%
|
77 | 87 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1925 |
BBU
1 - 0
ARS
57%
22%
21%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
| 24 Jan. 1925 |
SHE
2 - 1
ARS
57%
22%
20%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |