Notts County vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61%
Win probability
2.03
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.6%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
10%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
20.9%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.9%
18.1%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
ARS
3 - 1
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 2
SUN
33%
25%
42%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
SUN
3 - 1
NOT
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
NOT
2 - 0
WBA
44%
26%
30%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
WBA
8 - 0
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 1919 |
ARS
3 - 1
NOT
46%
25%
29%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 1919 |
BOL
2 - 2
ARS
68%
18%
13%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 1919 |
ARS
2 - 2
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 1919 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARS
63%
21%
16%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1919 |
ARS
1 - 2
BRA
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |