Notts County vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
22.2%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.2%
21%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
13.3%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.5%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOT
53%
23%
23%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 0
CHL
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
OLD
4 - 0
NOT
65%
19%
15%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
NOT
0 - 1
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
SHE
2 - 0
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 0
NOT
53%
23%
23%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Dec. 1912 |
MID
2 - 0
ARS
70%
17%
13%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 3
TOT
59%
21%
20%
|
75 | 73 | 2 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 1912 |
DER
4 - 1
ARS
69%
17%
14%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 30 Nov. 1912 |
ARS
0 - 1
BBU
34%
27%
40%
|
76 | 85 | 9 | 0 |