Notts County vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.7%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
ASV
0 - 0
NOT
81%
12%
7%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
2 - 2
MID
64%
19%
17%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
35%
26%
39%
|
75 | 87 | 12 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
NOT
4 - 0
SHE
42%
23%
34%
|
74 | 81 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 1907 |
PNE
0 - 0
NOT
72%
16%
12%
|
73 | 80 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 1907 |
STO
2 - 0
ARS
42%
24%
35%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1907 |
ARS
2 - 1
BIR
60%
22%
18%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1907 |
EVE
2 - 1
ARS
68%
18%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 1907 |
SUN
2 - 3
ARS
56%
22%
22%
|
82 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 1907 |
ARS
3 - 1
ASV
46%
24%
30%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |