Notts County vs Altrincham analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.4%
20.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
5.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOT
0 - 3
YOR
67%
20%
14%
|
55 | 46 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
AFC
1 - 3
NOT
16%
19%
65%
|
55 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
ALF
1 - 2
NOT
14%
19%
67%
|
55 | 35 | 20 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
ILK
0 - 2
NOT
7%
15%
78%
|
55 | 24 | 31 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2020 |
TOW
3 - 1
NOT
41%
23%
35%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
Altrincham
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Oct. 2020 |
ALT
0 - 0
WEY
51%
23%
26%
|
50 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
ALT
2 - 2
FYL
55%
22%
24%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
ALF
2 - 0
ALT
19%
21%
60%
|
51 | 36 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2020 |
CUR
4 - 3
ALT
20%
23%
57%
|
51 | 38 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
NAN
0 - 1
ALT
25%
23%
52%
|
51 | 42 | 9 | 0 |