Notts County vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68%
Win probability
2.32
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7%
3-0
7.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.3%
2-0
10.2%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.1%
13.9%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-28%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
SWI
1 - 2
NOT
29%
23%
48%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
4 - 1
GRI
59%
22%
19%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2024 |
NOT
2 - 2
FLE
46%
24%
30%
|
58 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
STF
3 - 3
NOT
29%
23%
49%
|
58 | 56 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
0 - 0
NOT
35%
24%
41%
|
58 | 57 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
STA
1 - 4
STO
12%
17%
71%
|
53 | 73 | 20 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 1
COL
46%
25%
29%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
3 - 1
STA
47%
24%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STA
3 - 3
TOW
35%
26%
39%
|
53 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2024 |
TRA
3 - 0
STA
44%
23%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | -1 |