Notts County vs Accrington Stanley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.6%
13.4%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NOT
1 - 2
WAL
63%
22%
15%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
SCU
0 - 1
NOT
38%
27%
36%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
BAR
2 - 3
NOT
44%
26%
31%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
NOT
5 - 3
CRA
56%
25%
20%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | +1 |
| 07 Oct. 2014 |
SCU
1 - 2
NOT
41%
25%
34%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Accrington Stanley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Oct. 2014 |
STA
2 - 1
MOR
51%
24%
25%
|
52 | 52 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
NEW
1 - 1
STA
58%
23%
19%
|
52 | 55 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2014 |
STA
3 - 1
HAR
64%
21%
15%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2014 |
STE
2 - 1
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2014 |
STA
1 - 2
DAG
57%
23%
21%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | -1 |