Nottingham Forest Sub 18 vs Newcastle Sub 18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.4%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
18.1%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-19%
+8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
2º
9º
8º
22
6º
12º
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
57 | 57 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
44 | 44 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
33 | 33 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
32 | 32 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
31 | 31 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
31 | 31 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
|
8º
|
30 | 30 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
30 | 30 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
26 | 26 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
26 | 26 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
|
12º
|
22 | 22 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
1 - 1
LEE
70%
17%
13%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOT
3 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 0
NOT
24%
21%
55%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 4
NOT
28%
23%
50%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
NOT
2 - 2
LIV
38%
22%
40%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newcastle Sub 18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2023 |
LIV
3 - 1
NEW
70%
16%
14%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
1 - 1
EVE
30%
22%
48%
|
19 | 25 | 6 | +1 |
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 2
MID
41%
22%
38%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
0 - 4
LIV
28%
20%
52%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
STO
1 - 1
NEW
51%
21%
27%
|
20 | 23 | 3 | 0 |