Nottingham Forest U18 vs Derby County U18 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.3%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.8%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.7%
33.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-39%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
NOT
0 - 1
EVE
32%
23%
46%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2022 |
NEW
0 - 1
NOT
39%
23%
38%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
NOT
1 - 1
SUN
59%
21%
21%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
DER
3 - 2
NOT
54%
21%
25%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2021 |
WOL
0 - 3
NOT
58%
21%
21%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Derby County U18
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2022 |
EVE
2 - 0
DER
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2022 |
LEE
7 - 0
DER
31%
22%
48%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
EVE
35%
22%
43%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | +1 |
| 22 Jan. 2022 |
DER
5 - 1
LEE
56%
21%
24%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2022 |
STO
3 - 0
DER
42%
22%
36%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | -1 |