Inter-Cities Fairs Cup 1/16
Global 2-2
Nottingham Forest vs Zurich analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.6%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.3%
2-0
10.3%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
12.3%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.4%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Oct. 1967 |
NTT
3 - 1
MUD
36%
26%
38%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 1967 |
TOT
1 - 1
NTT
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Oct. 1967 |
NTT
4 - 0
EIN
60%
20%
20%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 1967 |
NTT
0 - 0
SHW
58%
23%
19%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1967 |
BUR
1 - 1
NTT
55%
23%
22%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Zurich
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Oct. 1967 |
FCB
1 - 0
ZUR
81%
12%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 1967 |
ZUR
3 - 1
FCB
39%
25%
36%
|
76 | 87 | 11 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 1966 |
ZUR
0 - 3
CEL
45%
22%
32%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1966 |
CEL
2 - 0
ZUR
68%
17%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 1964 |
RMA
6 - 0
ZUR
89%
8%
4%
|
77 | 94 | 17 | 0 |