League One Playoff Semi-finals
Global 4-5
Nottingham Forest vs Yeovil Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.3%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20.1%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
YEO
0 - 2
NTT
38%
27%
35%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
NTT
0 - 0
CRE
58%
23%
19%
|
69 | 60 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
LEY
1 - 3
NTT
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 58 | 10 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
NTT
3 - 0
BOU
66%
21%
13%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BRE
2 - 4
NTT
24%
27%
49%
|
67 | 51 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Yeovil Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2007 |
YEO
0 - 2
NTT
38%
27%
35%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2007 |
GIL
0 - 2
YEO
33%
26%
42%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 0
DON
36%
27%
36%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
YEO
1 - 0
ROT
60%
24%
16%
|
62 | 53 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
BRI
2 - 0
YEO
55%
24%
21%
|
63 | 69 | 6 | -1 |