Nottingham Forest vs Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6%
3-1
3.6%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.5%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
37.8%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
8
7º
16º
16º
1
16º
20º
17º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
12 | 97 |
1º
|
86.5% | |
|
4º
|
9 | 86 |
2º
|
62% | |
|
2º
|
10 | 79 |
3º
|
53.5% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 65 |
4º
|
19.5% | |
|
10º
|
6 | 65 |
5º
|
19% | |
|
13º
|
4 | 62 |
6º
|
14.5% | |
|
3º
|
10 | 62 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
5º
|
9 | 58 |
8º
|
15% | |
|
6º
|
8 | 55 |
9º
|
12% | |
|
14º
|
4 | 53 |
10º
|
14.5% | |
|
9º
|
6 | 50 |
11º
|
12% | |
|
12º
|
5 | 43 |
12º
|
7.5% | |
|
16º
|
2 | 42 |
13º
|
9.5% | |
|
11º
|
5 | 40 |
14º
|
14.5% | |
|
15º
|
2 | 37 |
15º
|
12% | |
|
|
7º
|
8 | 37 |
16º
|
13.5% | |
|
|
18º
|
1 | 35 |
17º
|
8% | |
|
20º
|
0 | 35 |
18º
|
12.5% | |
|
17º
|
2 | 30 |
19º
|
24% | |
|
19º
|
0 | 28 |
20º
|
28.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Champions League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Europa League
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
73.5% | 62.5% |
|
Relegation
|
26.5% | 37.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 1
NEW
19%
22%
59%
|
86 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 1
NTT
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOU
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 4
NTT
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
0 - 0
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 0
BUR
51%
25%
25%
|
88 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
2 - 6
CHL
20%
23%
57%
|
89 | 94 | 5 | -1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
ARS
2 - 0
WOL
78%
15%
8%
|
88 | 98 | 10 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
0 - 1
RAY
58%
24%
18%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
WOL
3 - 0
RBL
14%
19%
67%
|
88 | 97 | 9 | 0 |