Nottingham Forest vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.2%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.6%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.6%
20.2%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
5.1%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.9%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
POR
0 - 2
NTT
48%
26%
26%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2006 |
OLD
3 - 0
NTT
48%
25%
27%
|
59 | 57 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
NTT
1 - 2
SWA
41%
27%
32%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | -1 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
BPO
2 - 2
NTT
48%
25%
27%
|
60 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
MKD
1 - 0
NTT
37%
27%
36%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 3
ROT
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 53 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 0
GIL
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 59 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2006 |
BRA
1 - 1
SWI
57%
23%
20%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2006 |
SWI
2 - 1
DON
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2006 |
SWI
1 - 0
WAL
40%
26%
34%
|
55 | 60 | 5 | 0 |