Nottingham Forest vs Swindon Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.9%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
16%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-18%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
BRI
1 - 1
NTT
46%
25%
28%
|
77 | 72 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
NTT
1 - 1
HUR
56%
24%
21%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
SUN
4 - 1
NTT
48%
25%
27%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Sep. 1972 |
MIL
2 - 1
NTT
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
NTT
1 - 1
ASV
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 66 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Swindon Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1972 |
SWI
3 - 2
PNE
58%
25%
17%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1972 |
BUR
2 - 1
SWI
71%
17%
11%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 1972 |
HUL
3 - 2
SWI
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 1972 |
SWI
0 - 2
LUT
56%
26%
18%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 1972 |
SWI
1 - 1
OPA
57%
24%
19%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |