Nottingham Forest vs Swansea City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.2%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.9%
2-0
11%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.2%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
NTT
0 - 1
MUD
40%
27%
33%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
LIV
2 - 0
NTT
67%
20%
13%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
NTT
1 - 1
ASV
43%
27%
30%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1982 |
EVE
2 - 1
NTT
50%
25%
25%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
ARS
2 - 0
NTT
51%
27%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Swansea City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 1982 |
TOT
2 - 1
SWA
73%
16%
11%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 May. 1982 |
SWA
1 - 3
EVE
52%
25%
23%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Apr. 1982 |
BIR
2 - 1
SWA
52%
24%
24%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 1982 |
SWA
2 - 0
MAC
52%
25%
24%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 1982 |
SWA
1 - 0
SOU
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | +1 |