Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.5%
16.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
5.3%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+7%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1968 |
MUD
3 - 0
NTT
71%
18%
11%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1968 |
NTT
2 - 1
LEI
55%
23%
23%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
NTT
0 - 0
TOT
48%
25%
27%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 1968 |
LEE
1 - 1
NTT
68%
20%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
NTT
1 - 0
BUR
52%
23%
25%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Mar. 1968 |
SUN
1 - 1
COV
54%
23%
23%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1968 |
SHE
1 - 2
SUN
56%
23%
21%
|
74 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 1968 |
WOL
2 - 1
SUN
66%
19%
15%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Mar. 1968 |
SUN
0 - 3
SOU
53%
22%
25%
|
75 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 1968 |
MAC
1 - 0
SUN
64%
20%
16%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | -1 |