Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.2%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
6.1%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
44.4%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 0
NTT
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 85 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 0
BOL
30%
29%
41%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
BOL
4 - 0
NTT
68%
18%
14%
|
72 | 84 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 3
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 2
MAC
35%
28%
36%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 1924 |
SUN
1 - 0
NTT
72%
16%
12%
|
85 | 72 | 13 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1924 |
SUN
0 - 0
LIV
67%
20%
14%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 1924 |
SUN
2 - 0
ASV
62%
20%
18%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1924 |
ASV
0 - 1
SUN
50%
24%
26%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
SHE
1 - 1
SUN
44%
25%
31%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |