Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.1%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.1%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.3%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
31.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
ASV
3 - 1
NTT
80%
13%
8%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
NTT
1 - 2
SHE
52%
23%
25%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
BCF
1 - 0
NTT
55%
21%
24%
|
78 | 76 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
NTT
2 - 0
LIV
51%
22%
28%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
MUD
4 - 2
NTT
72%
17%
12%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Feb. 1911 |
SUN
2 - 2
BBU
65%
19%
16%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1911 |
SUN
4 - 1
BCF
76%
13%
10%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 1911 |
SUN
2 - 2
ARS
80%
12%
8%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1911 |
OLD
2 - 1
SUN
35%
24%
41%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 1911 |
ASV
2 - 1
SUN
69%
17%
14%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | -1 |