Nottingham Forest vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
43.6%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.4%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
6.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.1%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
33.8%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
4%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 0
PNE
60%
21%
19%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 1
MID
65%
19%
16%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
BBU
2 - 2
NTT
67%
17%
15%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
0 - 0
CHL
63%
19%
18%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 1
ARS
62%
19%
19%
|
78 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 1910 |
TOT
5 - 1
SUN
34%
24%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 1910 |
SUN
0 - 0
BBU
66%
19%
15%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 1910 |
SUN
1 - 0
SHE
67%
19%
15%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1910 |
CHL
1 - 4
SUN
44%
23%
33%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | +1 |
| 05 Mar. 1910 |
SUN
3 - 0
BOL
82%
11%
7%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |