Nottingham Forest vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.1%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
12.8%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
31.3%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
BIR
1 - 1
NTT
38%
28%
35%
|
68 | 62 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 2
HUR
52%
26%
22%
|
69 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 0
NTT
38%
28%
34%
|
69 | 65 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
NTT
3 - 1
QPR
42%
28%
30%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
CAR
0 - 1
NTT
60%
23%
17%
|
68 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2021 |
STO
2 - 3
COV
48%
27%
26%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2021 |
STO
0 - 0
PNE
52%
26%
23%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2021 |
BIR
2 - 0
STO
29%
28%
44%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Apr. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
MIL
46%
27%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2021 |
BRI
0 - 2
STO
38%
28%
34%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |