Nottingham Forest vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.4%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
12.7%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.9%
17.6%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
NTT
2 - 1
CRY
37%
26%
37%
|
67 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
WIM
2 - 3
NTT
57%
24%
20%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jan. 2003 |
PNE
1 - 1
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
NTT
1 - 1
COV
42%
27%
32%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2003 |
WHU
3 - 2
NTT
71%
19%
10%
|
67 | 79 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2003 |
STO
0 - 2
CHL
22%
24%
54%
|
60 | 89 | 29 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2003 |
GRI
2 - 0
STO
41%
26%
33%
|
61 | 55 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2003 |
NOR
2 - 2
STO
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2003 |
STO
3 - 0
BOU
56%
23%
21%
|
59 | 56 | 3 | +2 |
| 18 Jan. 2003 |
STO
1 - 3
DER
43%
27%
30%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | -1 |