Nottingham Forest vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
68.6%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
9%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.9%
1-0
12.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.3%
12.1%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.8%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1984 |
AND
3 - 0
NTT
64%
21%
15%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
NTT
5 - 1
BIR
67%
21%
13%
|
86 | 80 | 6 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 1984 |
COV
2 - 1
NTT
38%
26%
36%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | -1 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
IPS
2 - 2
NTT
43%
26%
32%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 1984 |
NTT
2 - 0
AND
48%
26%
25%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1984 |
STO
1 - 2
QPR
44%
26%
30%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1984 |
NOR
2 - 2
STO
64%
21%
15%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 1984 |
STO
2 - 0
LIV
23%
27%
50%
|
77 | 90 | 13 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 1984 |
ARS
3 - 1
STO
67%
20%
13%
|
77 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1984 |
STO
2 - 1
SUN
52%
26%
23%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |