Nottingham Forest vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.5%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.5%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.4%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
23.3%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1966 |
EVE
3 - 0
NTT
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
NOR
3 - 3
NTT
33%
26%
42%
|
80 | 70 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1966 |
NTT
1 - 0
BUR
40%
24%
36%
|
80 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
NTT
0 - 4
LEE
43%
26%
32%
|
80 | 86 | 6 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
WBA
5 - 3
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Mar. 1966 |
STO
1 - 1
WBA
47%
23%
30%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 1966 |
NEW
3 - 1
STO
41%
24%
34%
|
80 | 74 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 1966 |
STO
2 - 2
MUD
33%
24%
44%
|
80 | 89 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 1966 |
STO
6 - 2
NOR
72%
17%
12%
|
80 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1966 |
EVE
2 - 1
STO
60%
21%
19%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |