Nottingham Forest vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.5%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.5%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.7%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.2%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
MID
4 - 0
NTT
75%
15%
9%
|
70 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 1
NTT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 1923 |
NTT
2 - 1
MID
29%
24%
48%
|
69 | 80 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
NTT
1 - 0
BBU
35%
25%
40%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
BBU
2 - 0
NTT
75%
15%
10%
|
69 | 79 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
BIR
41%
27%
32%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 1
NTT
50%
26%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 1923 |
TOT
3 - 1
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 0
TOT
34%
29%
38%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 1923 |
STO
0 - 1
BUR
31%
30%
40%
|
70 | 84 | 14 | 0 |