Nottingham Forest vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.7%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
4.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
7.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
24.7%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
NTT
2 - 0
TRA
59%
24%
17%
|
67 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2007 |
NTT
0 - 0
OLD
62%
22%
16%
|
67 | 58 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
LUT
2 - 1
NTT
52%
24%
24%
|
68 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
NTT
0 - 0
DON
56%
24%
20%
|
68 | 64 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
CHE
0 - 3
NTT
32%
28%
41%
|
67 | 57 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Nov. 2007 |
NOR
0 - 1
SOU
34%
27%
40%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Oct. 2007 |
SOU
0 - 1
CUM
54%
25%
22%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2007 |
WAL
0 - 2
SOU
34%
26%
40%
|
65 | 59 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2007 |
SOU
3 - 0
CRE
59%
22%
18%
|
65 | 57 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2007 |
SOU
1 - 2
TRA
58%
24%
19%
|
65 | 61 | 4 | 0 |