Nottingham Forest vs Southend United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
28.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Nov. 2005 |
WEY
0 - 2
NTT
27%
24%
49%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
BOU
1 - 1
NTT
49%
26%
26%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 1
WEY
73%
17%
10%
|
63 | 50 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
NTT
1 - 0
BRA
53%
25%
23%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
YEO
3 - 0
NTT
48%
25%
27%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Southend United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 2
SWA
48%
26%
27%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
BAR
0 - 1
SOU
36%
25%
39%
|
65 | 58 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
BRI
0 - 3
SOU
40%
27%
34%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
SOU
1 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2005 |
RUS
1 - 0
SOU
20%
23%
57%
|
65 | 46 | 19 | -1 |