Nottingham Forest vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
72.5%
Win probability
2.25
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
13.2%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
8.3%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
10.1%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1979 |
WOL
1 - 0
NTT
31%
29%
40%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
NTT
0 - 0
LIV
49%
26%
25%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1979 |
KOL
0 - 1
NTT
54%
24%
22%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
32%
28%
40%
|
90 | 80 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1979 |
NTT
1 - 1
MUD
62%
21%
18%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
MUD
40%
25%
35%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 0
MAC
46%
26%
28%
|
83 | 87 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
1 - 1
LIV
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 1979 |
COV
4 - 0
SOU
64%
20%
16%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1979 |
SOU
3 - 3
TOT
55%
23%
22%
|
83 | 82 | 1 | 0 |