Nottingham Forest vs Rotherham United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.5%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.7%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.6%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
18.8%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
12.5%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
STO
0 - 0
NTT
52%
25%
23%
|
64 | 66 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
SUN
2 - 0
NTT
57%
25%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
NTT
0 - 0
CAR
53%
24%
23%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
PLY
3 - 2
NTT
51%
25%
23%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
NTT
1 - 4
COV
52%
24%
23%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Rotherham United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2004 |
COV
0 - 0
ROT
60%
23%
17%
|
60 | 66 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2004 |
WHU
1 - 0
ROT
73%
18%
9%
|
60 | 77 | 17 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 2
LEI
27%
26%
47%
|
61 | 74 | 13 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2004 |
PNE
2 - 0
ROT
56%
23%
21%
|
62 | 62 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2004 |
ROT
0 - 2
IPS
30%
25%
44%
|
62 | 72 | 10 | 0 |