Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
19.2%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.1%
58.7%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.2%
0-2
10.1%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10%
0-4
3%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Aug. 2024 |
SOU
0 - 1
NTT
46%
25%
29%
|
86 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
1 - 1
BOU
36%
25%
39%
|
85 | 87 | 2 | +1 |
| 08 Aug. 2024 |
OLP
3 - 4
NTT
46%
24%
30%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2024 |
NTT
0 - 0
VIL
27%
23%
50%
|
85 | 90 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Jul. 2024 |
NTT
0 - 1
ELC
63%
21%
16%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
BOU
1 - 1
NEW
23%
23%
54%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
SOU
69%
19%
13%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
1 - 0
BRE
72%
18%
11%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 09 Aug. 2024 |
NEW
4 - 0
GIR
56%
22%
22%
|
93 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
FCY
2 - 0
NEW
20%
21%
59%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |