Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.02
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
8.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
12.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+20%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
NTT
4 - 1
COV
64%
22%
14%
|
85 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
ARS
0 - 2
NTT
52%
25%
23%
|
85 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
OXF
0 - 2
NTT
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 1987 |
NTT
4 - 0
QPR
61%
23%
16%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
WIM
1 - 1
NTT
42%
26%
32%
|
85 | 81 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Dec. 1987 |
LIV
4 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 0
MUD
36%
27%
37%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 1987 |
WHU
2 - 1
NEW
61%
22%
17%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 1
OPA
74%
16%
10%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1987 |
OXF
1 - 3
NEW
57%
23%
20%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |