Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.6%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.7%
23%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23%
16.5%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1987 |
MAC
1 - 0
NTT
32%
27%
42%
|
84 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
NTT
2 - 0
TOT
36%
28%
36%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
WIM
2 - 1
NTT
39%
26%
35%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
NTT
1 - 1
NOR
54%
25%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
LIV
3 - 0
NTT
68%
19%
13%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 1987 |
NEW
0 - 3
CHA
70%
18%
13%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 May. 1987 |
WHU
1 - 1
NEW
62%
22%
17%
|
79 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 1987 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
59%
22%
19%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 1987 |
EVE
3 - 0
NEW
80%
14%
6%
|
79 | 90 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1987 |
NEW
2 - 1
MUD
42%
26%
32%
|
79 | 86 | 7 | 0 |