Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.6%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.1%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
21%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.5%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.4%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
NTT
3 - 3
STO
56%
24%
20%
|
82 | 77 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
TOT
2 - 1
NTT
72%
17%
11%
|
82 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
NTT
0 - 0
COV
58%
23%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 1968 |
WBA
2 - 5
NTT
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 1968 |
EVE
2 - 1
NTT
63%
22%
15%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 1968 |
NEW
0 - 1
LEE
33%
29%
38%
|
77 | 88 | 11 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1968 |
NEW
2 - 2
TOT
36%
27%
38%
|
77 | 86 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1968 |
MUD
3 - 1
NEW
77%
15%
8%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 1968 |
FEY
2 - 0
NEW
78%
13%
8%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1968 |
NEW
2 - 3
WBA
39%
26%
35%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |