Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.8%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.9%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.7%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
40%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.6%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.5%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
NTT
1 - 1
BBU
44%
24%
32%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
ARS
3 - 0
NTT
66%
18%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
BBU
4 - 1
NTT
60%
20%
20%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
NTT
2 - 2
MAC
45%
23%
33%
|
76 | 77 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
LEE
1 - 0
NTT
55%
22%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Aug. 1960 |
FUL
4 - 3
NEW
50%
21%
29%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 1960 |
NEW
0 - 1
BUR
54%
21%
24%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1960 |
NEW
7 - 2
FUL
58%
20%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 1960 |
PNE
2 - 3
NEW
59%
19%
22%
|
80 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1960 |
NEW
0 - 1
MAC
58%
19%
23%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |