Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
13.9%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
+1
22.5%
30.5%
Draw
0-0
13.1%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.5%
32.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
12.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
20.5%
0-2
6.1%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 4
CHL
38%
27%
35%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
CHL
2 - 2
NTT
63%
22%
15%
|
70 | 79 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
1 - 3
LIV
35%
30%
35%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
LIV
2 - 1
NTT
74%
16%
11%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
TOT
31%
30%
39%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Dec. 1922 |
MID
1 - 1
NEW
63%
21%
16%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
1 - 1
MID
46%
25%
29%
|
83 | 83 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 0
ASV
49%
24%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 1922 |
ASV
1 - 1
NEW
62%
21%
17%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 1922 |
NEW
0 - 1
LIV
50%
26%
24%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |