Nottingham Forest vs Newcastle analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.1%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.4%
34.5%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+8%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
NOT
4 - 1
NTT
63%
19%
18%
|
79 | 81 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1910 |
BCF
4 - 1
NTT
56%
21%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
NTT
1 - 4
ASV
48%
24%
29%
|
80 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
NTT
2 - 2
TOT
71%
16%
13%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
TOT
2 - 2
NTT
46%
24%
30%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Newcastle
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jan. 1910 |
NEW
4 - 1
BBU
65%
20%
15%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 1910 |
NEW
5 - 2
PNE
72%
18%
10%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1910 |
NEW
1 - 0
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1909 |
CHL
2 - 1
NEW
40%
25%
36%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Dec. 1909 |
ARS
0 - 3
NEW
34%
26%
40%
|
85 | 78 | 7 | 0 |