Nottingham Forest vs Morecambe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.8%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.3%
2-0
12.1%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.7%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.3%
14.9%
Win probability
0.8
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
NTT
0 - 0
REA
27%
26%
48%
|
70 | 82 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
NTT
3 - 2
YEO
69%
20%
11%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
HAR
0 - 1
NTT
36%
28%
37%
|
70 | 60 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
NTT
1 - 0
LUT
64%
22%
15%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
TRA
0 - 2
NTT
41%
29%
31%
|
69 | 63 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Morecambe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
WYC
1 - 1
MOR
50%
26%
23%
|
57 | 62 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
MKD
1 - 1
MOR
71%
19%
11%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 2
LIN
48%
25%
27%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
ROC
1 - 0
MOR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
MOR
1 - 1
CHE
45%
26%
29%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |