Nottingham Forest vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
66.2%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.4%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
11%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
14.1%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
LEI
1 - 1
NTT
27%
30%
43%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
NTT
3 - 1
ARS
58%
23%
20%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1981 |
STO
1 - 2
NTT
38%
29%
33%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1981 |
NTT
3 - 3
IPS
50%
25%
25%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
NTT
2 - 1
BRI
80%
15%
5%
|
87 | 72 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Feb. 1981 |
ARS
2 - 2
MID
57%
24%
19%
|
84 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 1981 |
MID
3 - 1
STO
61%
23%
16%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1981 |
MID
1 - 1
WOL
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1981 |
IPS
1 - 0
MID
69%
19%
13%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 1981 |
MID
2 - 1
BAR
82%
13%
5%
|
84 | 53 | 31 | 0 |