Nottingham Forest vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.7%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.9%
21.9%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.4%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.9%
45.4%
Win probability
1.92
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
20.2%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
7.1%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Feb. 1961 |
SHW
1 - 0
NTT
75%
14%
11%
|
77 | 85 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
NTT
1 - 0
BIR
46%
23%
31%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
WBA
1 - 2
NTT
63%
19%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
NTT
2 - 1
CAR
58%
21%
21%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 14 Jan. 1961 |
NEW
2 - 2
NTT
67%
17%
16%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Feb. 1961 |
MUD
3 - 1
BOL
69%
18%
13%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1961 |
WOL
2 - 1
MUD
73%
14%
13%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 1961 |
MUD
1 - 1
ASV
67%
18%
15%
|
84 | 80 | 4 | -1 |
| 21 Jan. 1961 |
LEI
6 - 0
MUD
43%
21%
37%
|
84 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 1961 |
MUD
2 - 0
TOT
43%
23%
35%
|
84 | 88 | 4 | 0 |