Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
74.1%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
10.7%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.9%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.3%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.1%
8.8%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 1990 |
COV
0 - 0
NTT
35%
27%
38%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 1990 |
NTT
1 - 1
CHL
69%
19%
13%
|
87 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Feb. 1990 |
NTT
2 - 1
COV
71%
19%
10%
|
87 | 81 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
NTT
3 - 1
CRY
72%
18%
10%
|
87 | 73 | 14 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1990 |
TOT
2 - 3
NTT
47%
25%
28%
|
87 | 83 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Feb. 1990 |
MAC
1 - 2
CHA
62%
22%
16%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 1990 |
MAC
1 - 1
WIM
42%
27%
30%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 1990 |
MUD
1 - 1
MAC
64%
23%
14%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1990 |
MAC
1 - 0
COV
46%
27%
27%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | +1 |
| 15 Jan. 1990 |
MIL
3 - 1
MAC
54%
22%
24%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |