Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.8%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
CHL
4 - 2
NTT
49%
25%
26%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Nov. 1985 |
NTT
2 - 1
WBA
68%
20%
12%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1985 |
DER
1 - 2
NTT
22%
25%
54%
|
85 | 62 | 23 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
NTT
3 - 2
ARS
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 85 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
NEW
0 - 3
NTT
45%
25%
30%
|
85 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 1
IPS
44%
26%
29%
|
74 | 80 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 1985 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 2
ARS
39%
27%
34%
|
75 | 84 | 9 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 1985 |
MAC
1 - 1
EVE
24%
28%
48%
|
74 | 89 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Oct. 1985 |
QPR
0 - 0
MAC
72%
18%
11%
|
74 | 82 | 8 | 0 |