Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.4%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.4%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.9%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
9.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.3%
36.3%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
11.5%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.6%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 1924 |
PNE
3 - 1
NTT
67%
18%
15%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
NTT
1 - 1
BIR
46%
26%
29%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
BIR
0 - 2
NTT
59%
22%
19%
|
71 | 76 | 5 | +1 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
NEW
4 - 0
NTT
62%
21%
17%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
NTT
0 - 0
NEW
34%
31%
34%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jan. 1924 |
LIV
0 - 0
MAC
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 85 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1924 |
MAC
0 - 1
LIV
55%
25%
20%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 1924 |
WBA
2 - 1
MAC
54%
23%
23%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1924 |
MAC
1 - 0
TOT
56%
24%
21%
|
81 | 82 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 1923 |
MAC
3 - 3
WBA
55%
24%
22%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | 0 |