Nottingham Forest vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.5%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
24%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24%
23.4%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.8%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
SHW
2 - 1
NTT
53%
23%
23%
|
84 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 1985 |
NTT
1 - 1
OXF
66%
20%
13%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 1985 |
QPR
3 - 1
NTT
51%
25%
24%
|
85 | 82 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
EVE
1 - 1
NTT
69%
19%
13%
|
85 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
NTT
0 - 2
MAC
71%
18%
11%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Dec. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 0
NEW
65%
20%
16%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 1985 |
LUT
2 - 1
MAC
70%
18%
12%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 1985 |
WAT
1 - 2
LUT
63%
20%
18%
|
82 | 83 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 1985 |
LUT
0 - 1
COV
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 78 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 1985 |
TOT
1 - 3
LUT
69%
18%
13%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | 0 |