Nottingham Forest vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
7.7%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.7%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
16.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.2%
12.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
8.5%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.2%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
WBA
2 - 0
NTT
67%
17%
15%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1959 |
NTT
0 - 3
LEE
58%
21%
21%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 1959 |
NTT
2 - 0
ASV
57%
21%
23%
|
79 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 4
LEI
57%
20%
23%
|
79 | 73 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1959 |
NTT
1 - 3
CHL
52%
22%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 1959 |
LUT
1 - 1
BPO
46%
24%
31%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 1959 |
LUT
3 - 1
OPA
67%
18%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | +1 |
| 20 Apr. 1959 |
BBU
3 - 1
LUT
61%
20%
19%
|
79 | 79 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 1959 |
WOL
5 - 0
LUT
83%
11%
6%
|
79 | 88 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 1959 |
WBA
2 - 0
LUT
68%
18%
14%
|
79 | 83 | 4 | 0 |