Nottingham Forest vs Luton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.5%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.9%
3-0
5%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.9%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
24.4%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+17%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
NTT
1 - 1
CHL
48%
22%
30%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 1958 |
CHL
0 - 0
NTT
65%
18%
17%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
NTT
0 - 0
BOL
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 1958 |
NTT
1 - 4
WOL
33%
24%
44%
|
78 | 87 | 9 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1958 |
BPO
3 - 0
NTT
69%
17%
14%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Luton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 1958 |
LEI
4 - 1
LUT
64%
18%
18%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 1958 |
LUT
2 - 1
LEI
53%
21%
27%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1958 |
LUT
0 - 2
CHL
52%
22%
27%
|
81 | 80 | 1 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 1958 |
NEW
3 - 2
LUT
55%
21%
24%
|
81 | 78 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 1958 |
LUT
0 - 0
TOT
50%
23%
28%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | 0 |